By 
                  Liz Highleyman
                  
                  Injection drug users (IDUs) often contract blood-borne diseases 
                  such as hepatitis C and HIV 
                  by sharing syringes and other injection equipment. Over years 
                  or decades, a proportion of people with chronic hepatitis C 
                  will develop severe liver disease including advanced fibrosis, 
                  cirrhosis (scarring), 
                  and hepatocellular 
                  carcinoma (a form of liver cancer).
                
                Ava 
                  John-Baptiste from the University of Toronto and colleagues 
                  performed a literature review and meta-analysis to estimate 
                  the rate of progression to liver cirrhosis among people infected 
                  with HCV through injection drug use. 
                  
                  The investigators searched published literature for articles 
                  assessing development of cirrhosis in IDU populations. They 
                  collected data on cirrhosis prevalence, proportion of men in 
                  the population, average patient age, mean duration of HCV infection, 
                  mean alanine aminotransferase (ALT) level, proportion with HIV 
                  coinfection, and proportion of heavy alcohol users.
                  
                  Results
                
                   
                    |  | A 
                      total of 47 relevant published articles were identified, 
                      out of which 44 studies representing a total of 6457 patients 
                      were included in the final analysis. | 
                   
                    |  | The 
                      estimated rate of progression to cirrhosis was 8.1 per 1000 
                      person-years, after adjusting for confounding factors. | 
                   
                    |  | This 
                      corresponds to a 20-year cirrhosis prevalence of 14.8%. | 
                   
                    |  | The 
                      rate of liver disease progression was faster in populations 
                      that included a higher percentage of men and/or heavy alcohol 
                      users. | 
                   
                    |  | However, 
                      a 5% increase in the proportion of HIV/HCV coinfected people 
                      or an ALT increase of 5 IU/L were not associated with faster 
                      progression. | 
                
                These 
                  findings led the study authors concluded, "Analysis of 
                  aggregate level data suggests that for patients who contracted 
                  HCV through injection drug use, prognosis is poor in populations 
                  with many male patients and high levels of alcohol consumption."
                  
                  Investigator affiliations: Department of Health Policy, Management 
                  & Evaluation, University of Toronto, Canada; Toronto Health 
                  Economics and Technology Assessment Collaborative (THETA), University 
                  of Toronto, Canada; University Health Network, Toronto, Canada; 
                  Dalla Lana School of Public Health, University of Toronto, Canada; 
                  Department of Medicine, University of Toronto, Toronto, Canada.
                  
                  9/14/10
                Reference
                  A John-Baptiste, M Krahn, J Heathcote, and others. The natural 
                  history of hepatitis C infection acquired through injection 
                  drug use: Meta-analysis and meta-regression. Journal of Hepatology 
                  53(2): 245-51 (Abstract). 
                  August 2010.